With the arrival of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as well as other rising conflicts around the world, the media has shifted its gears towards covering the newest events, leaving the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war in the dust. Nowadays, news channels or social media pages rarely discuss the ongoing events of war between Russia and Ukraine regularly. Nevertheless, the war in eastern Europe has been raging for nearly two years, so here’s the current situation and future outlook of the conflict.
The Russo-Ukrainian War technically began in February of 2014 but broke out into the war we now know after Russia launched a full-scale invasion in February of 2022. When the invasion was announced, there was no formal declaration of war but rather labeled as a “special military operation” by Putin. Upon his announcement, Putin quickly ordered airstrikes and missile launches, especially targeting Kyiv which is the capital of Ukraine. What Russia expected to be a quick invasion and annexation of Ukrainian territories turned into a gruesome battle leading to over millions of refugees displaced and hundreds of thousands wounded or deceased.
It is unclear who will win the war as both sides have had their ups and downs. Russia, who expected swift victory, was faced with unexpected Western aid that nearly evened the playing field and significantly slowed the pace of the invasion. Regardless, Russian forces were initially able to take around 25% of Ukraine's territory across the eastern boarder but are now at a stalemate, as the front lines are barely budging. Ukrainian troops started 2023, devising a counteroffensive against Russia with high hopes and western nations’ support, but are starting 2024 with low moral, anxiety about the future aid, and disappointment in the battleground.
With Israeli-Palestinian conflict and increasing tension between China and Taiwan, Putin is taking advantage of the slower pace of the war, waiting for the Western allies' economic and military aid to relocate and spread out amongst conflicts around the world instead of being concentrated against Russia. Ukraine may have slowly took back some parts of the land Russia was able to seize in their initial invasion, but it will be difficult to win back more.
While Russia currently seems to have the upper hand in the war, there is still uncertainty as Ukraine successfully took out key battleships of Russia’s, sanctions were placed against Russia’s economy, and conflicts within the country and against Putin’s presidency. The two nations still trade blows everyday with drone and missile strikes so one future outlook is clear: the war is yet to end.